In winter, rising temperatures have increased the number of frost-free days. Like the Inside Passage, the weather in Southwest Alaska is heavily influenced by ocean currents and maritime conditions. Pangaea began to break up during the Jurassic, rifting apart into continents that would drift toward their modern-day positions. Published June 22, 2021 Updated Aug. 23, 2022. Summer heat waves will become hotter and longer, while winter cold snaps will occur less often. (1) The North American Monsoon, published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society by David Adams and Andrew Comrie, provides a comprehensive overview of the North American Monsoon and related research through the late 20th century. Average Annual Temperatures in the Southwestern United States. In 2000-2003, the combination of severe drought and unusually high temperatures led to a significant die-off of pion pines in the Four Corners region of the Southwest. Arizona's climate is influenced by three main topographical areas: the high Colorado Plateau (about 15202130 meters or 50007000 feet in elevation), the rugged mountains to the west (27403660 meters or 900012000 feet high), and the low southwestern mountains with desert valleys (as low as 30 meters or 100 feet above sea level). Dark gray is land, white and light gray are submerged areas. Data source: NOAA, 20212Web update: April2021. The ENSO blog is written, edited, and moderated by Michelle LHeureux (NOAA Climate Prediction Center), Emily Becker (University of Miami/CIMAS), Nat Johnson (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory), and Tom DiLiberto and Rebecca Lindsey (contractors to NOAA Climate Program Office), with periodic guest contributors. North America's position near the equator kept its climate relatively warm. PRI is a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. Roadcut exposing lake sediments of the Eocene Green River Formation, Duchesne County, Utah. Cambrian trilobites from the Bright Angel Shale (Tonto Group), Grand Canyon National Park, Arizona. These changes threaten economic productivity, public health, and the sustainability of Indigenous communities. Average annual temperatures for the southwestern U.S. The Wave, a series of intersecting U-shaped troughs eroded into Jurassic NavajoSandstone within the Paria Canyon-Vermilion Cliffs Wilderness, Arizona. Brown indicates areas where experts forecast drought will persist or worsen. Cities like Phoenix, Las Vegas, Yuma, and Palm Springs have average highs over 100 F (38 C) during the summer months and lows in the 70s or even 80s. The average amount of precipitation for the United States is 85.6 centimeters (33.7 inches). The warm, arid Southwest region presents extreme challenges to turf grasses in low- and high-desert climates. The formation of precipitation also causes electrical charging of particles in the atmosphere, which in turn produces lightning. Modified from illustrations by Wade Greenberg-Brand originally published inThe Teacher-Friendly Guide to the Earth Science of the SouthwesternUS. Large portions of the Southwest have experienced drought conditions since weekly Drought Monitor records began in 2000. Southwest Asia is a region of diverse climates and is generally divided into three main climate types: arid, semiarid, and temperate. Average annual preciptiation for the southwestern U.S. This circulation brings thunderstorms and rainfall to the monsoon region, providing much of their annual total precipitation. Photo by Santa Fe National Forest (National Interagency Fire Center on flickr, public domain). However, although climate change is predicted to enhance the intensity of severe weather, there is currently no way to calculate what effect climate change will have on the frequency of specific storm eventsfor example, we might see more powerful tornados, but we do not know if we will see more of them. One especially alarming detail about the Calf Canyon fire is that it was originally set in January 2022. Photo by Richard Stephen Haynes (Wikimedia Commons, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International license, image resized). Credits: Most of the text on this page comes from "Climate of the Southwestern US" by Ingrid H. H. Zabel, Judith T. Parrish, and Andrielle N. Swaby, chapter 8 in The Teacher-Friendly Guide to the Earth Science of the Southwestern US, edited by Andrielle N. Swaby, Mark D. Lucas, and Robert M. Ross (published in 2016 by the Paleontological Research Institution; currently out of print). Climate changepast, present & future: a very short guide. Photo of USNM 166396 from the Cretaceous Atlas of Ancient Life(Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International license, image cropped). But El Nio leads to more tropical storms than average, youre saying, because youre not new here. The Santa Catalina Mountains near Tucson, Arizona are surrounded desert in which saguaro cacti grow. Did La Nia drench the Southwest United States in early winter 2022/23? Colorado Climate Center - Colorado's Climate - Colorado State University The size and location of various lakes in which the Green River Formation sediments were deposited during the Eocene epoch. However, while the effect of warming on the storms is uncertain, temperatures have been increasing. The North Rim is 8000 feet (2438meters) to 9000 feet (2743 meters) above sea level. Summer temperatures on the South Rim, at 7000 feet (2134 meters), are especially pleasant from 50 to about 85 F (10s to 20s C). Although there has been a fair amount of research into the monsoon, there are still far more questions than answers about how it works, and if the seasonal amount of rain, potential start date, or other characteristics can be predicted. Right:Graph of the lake's changing level over time. SW Precipitation Precipitation in the Southwest has two distinct seasons. This map shows how the average air temperature from 2000 to 2020has differed from the long-term average (18952020). These oases were fed by groundwater that originated in the higher country of what is now western Colorado. Photo by Udo S. Title: Monument Valley - Arizona / USA. Convective mixing forces the moisture in warm air to condense as it comes into contact with cool air, forming vapor (clouds) and precipitation (for example, rain or hail). In the podcast episode 2021a generational monsoon? Zack listed some of the factors that influence how much moisture is available to the monsoon, including the position of the high-pressure area, wind patterns, and transient weather features. Light precipitation travels eastward over the Sierra Nevada and Cascade mountains after dropping heavy snowfall in areas of high elevation. Volcanic activity was strong. PRI's free resource to help you learn about the Earth and its history. Taken on September 23, 2017. This feature focuses on six states that are commonly thought of as southwestern and characterized at least in part by arid landscapes and scarce water supplies: Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah. While the state is generally arid, its high western mountains experience more precipitation each year than the desert southwest and the high northeastern plateau do. Although much of the Southwest falls within the category of an arid zone, using a single label to describe the Southwest's climate would belie its diversity. Megadrought in Southwest Is Now the Worst in at Least 1,200 Years By 2070, one can expect up to 38 more days of freeze-free weather each year. Image adapted from an image by Scenarios for Climate Assessment and Adaptation, first published in The Teacher-Friendly Guide to the Earth Science of the Southwestern US. Reconstruction created usingPaleomap(by C. Scotese) forGPlates. Moving westward, Colorado's foothills and mountainous areas experience an overall cooler climate and higher levels of precipitation. Winter precipitation often involves large-scale frontal systems. During this time, the only exposed areas were islands in western Colorado and parts of New Mexico. A car with a windshield damaged by hailstones, Limon, Colorado, 2010. The thunderstorm begins. The monsoon starts to develop in Mexico in June, and moves into the U.S. Southwest in July. Southwest | U.S. Climate Resilience Toolkit Photo by Stefan Klein (Wikimedia Commons, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International license, image cropped and resized). USA 107(50):2125621262. Figures 2 and 3 show two ways of measuring drought in the Southwest: the Drought Monitor and the Palmer Drought Severity Index. Before the Isthmus closed, the Atlantic and Pacific oceans were connected. While thats often the situation for the Indian monsoon, the monsoon in North America behaves a bit differently. The elevation of Bear Lake is about 2880 meters (9450 feet). Zack and Mike mention that last year was an extremely dry monsoon, and this year is extremely wet. Seems likely that conditions in the GM may influence annual variations in the monsoon. Record high temperatures for the Southwest range from 53C (128F) in Arizona to 47C (117F) in Utah, while record low temperatures range from 56C (69F) in Utah to 40C (40F) in Arizona. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. These changes include the following: The seasonality and transmission frequency of insect-borne diseases and other infectious diseases prevalent in the Southwest, including plague, valley fever, and Hanta, are influenced by warming trends. Dry conditions are common throughout the Great Plains, Colorado Plateau, and Basin and Range. While this will help with the ongoing drought in the southwest, in many regions the precipitation deficit has been building for a long time. A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. Images by Lauren Dauphin, NASA Earth Observatory (used following NASA's image use policy). Data for Figure 2 were provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center. This movement of air in different directions is also the reason for the high incidence of powerful tornados that occur along "Tornado Alley" in the Great Plains, which affect eastern New Mexico and especially eastern Colorado. Higher atmospheric moisture content has also been correlated with an increased incidence of tornados and winter storms. The Southwest relies on the slow melt of mountain snowpack throughout the spring and summer, when water demands are highest. Hailstones from a storm in Limon, Colorado, 2010. Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic license, Scenarios for Climate Assessment and Adaptation, Image by The High Fin Sperm Whale, created from images by NOAA National Weather Service training material (Wikimedia Commons, public domain), Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International license, Modified from a map by Adam Peterson (Wikimedia Commons, Photo by Bob Wick, Bureau of Land Management (flickr, public domain), Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported license, Photo by Richard Stephen Haynes (Wikimedia Commons, Photo of USNM PAL 165239 by Crinoid Type Project (Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History, public domain), Photos of YPM IP 529539 by Jessica Utrup, 2015 (Yale Peabody Museum of Natural History/YPM, CC0 1.0 Universal/Public Domain Dedication, Photo of USNM P 38052 by Frederic Cochard (Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History, public domain), Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic license, Cretaceous Atlas of Ancient Life: Western Interior Seaway, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International, Photo of USNM 166396 from the Cretaceous Atlas of Ancient Life, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International license, Inset image from the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (PIA03397), Photo by Jeffrey Beall (Wikimedia Commons, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license, Photo by Kenneth Carpenter (Wikimedia Commons, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommerical 2.0 Generic license, Photo by Center for Land Use Interpretation, Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 license, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic license, Photo by Dr. David Goodrich, NOAA (NOAA Photo Library ID wea04192, NOAA's National Weather Service, via flickr, Images by Lauren Dauphin, NASA Earth Observatory, Photos by Lauren Dauphin, NASA Earth Observatory, NASA Earth Observatory image by Lauren Dauphin (NASA Earth Observatory, Photo by Santa Fe National Forest (National Interagency Fire Center on flickr, public domain), https://earthathome.org/de/talk-about-climate/, https://earthathome.org/de/what-is-climate/, https://earthathome.org/de/recent-climate-change/, https://earthathome.org/de/climate-change-mitigation/, https://earthathome.org/de/climate-change-adaptation/, https://earthathome.org/quick-faqs/#climate, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International licenses. By comparison, the average high and low temperatures for the entire United States are 17C (63F) and 5C (41F), respectively. Answer: Winter, June, July, and August. Accessed March 2021. www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag. Resilient Bermudagrass is widely used in the region, but sufficient watering is essential in the desert climate . Alaska Weather & Climate | Temperature Chart, Daylight & More Source:FEMA National Risk Index. | View Google Privacy Policy. This project was made possible in part by the Institute of Museum and Library Services (ARPML-250637-OMLS-22).The views, findings, conclusions or recommendations expressed in this website do not necessarily represent those of the Institute of Museum and Library Services. Both fires began as prescribed burns, or fires that were set deliberately with the intention of preventing the formation of future wildfires. Average is based on 19792020 using CPC Unified data. Monsoon region averaged over all land gridpoints, 20N37N, 102W115W. Wetter-than-average monsoons (green dots) are slightly more common during La Nia years, while drier-than-average monsoons (brown dots) are slightly more common during El Nio years. The Palmer Index is calculated from precipitation and temperature measurements at weather stations, and has been used widely for many years. August 2021 National Climate Report | National Centers for Drought outlook for the Lower 48 U.S. states in August 2022. The causes of specific weather events such as tornados and severe thunderstorms are incredibly complex, although climate change has enhanced some correlated factors, such as increased wind speed and an unstable atmosphere. Since 800,000 years ago, an equilibrium has been reached between warming and cooling, with the ice caps growing and retreating primarily due to the influence of astronomical forces (i.e., the combined gravitational effects of the Earth, Sun, moon, and planets). Precipitation also varies widely. July 1August 22, 2021 precipitation shown as a percent of the average July 1August 22, based on 19792020. Left (1):Leaves of a seedling. Modified fromFigure 11 in Kirby et al. As the summer heat builds over North America, a region of high pressure forms over the U.S. Southwest, and the wind becomes more southerly, bringing moisture from the Pacific Ocean and the Gulf of California. Maps and data. Climate.gov image of original from Albuquerque, NM National Weather Service office. Declining water supplies, reduced agricultural yields, health impacts in cities due to heat, and flooding and erosion in coastal areas are additional concerns. Cumbres in the San Juan Mountains receives nearly 7.6 meters (300 inches) of snowfall annually, while Manassa, less than 50 kilometers (30 miles) away in the San Luis Valley, receives only about 63 centimeters (25 inches) of snow a year. Storms form when there is strong convection in the atmosphere. Fig. The inset image is a shaded relief image that shows the edge of the crater on the Yucatn Peninsula with sinkholes in the rock surrounding it. Drier conditions occurred through the 1920s/1930s, again in the 1950s, and since 1990, when the Southwest has seen some of the most persistent droughts on record (see Figure 3). SW Precipitation | CLIMAS Photo by James St. John (flickr, Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic license). The lack of moisture in the air allows heat trapped in the earth during daylight hours to rapidly radiate away, leading to cool evenings. In New Mexico, for example, the average difference between the daily high and low temperatures ranges from 14 to 19C (25 to 35F). As of 2010, bark beetles in Arizona and New Mexico have affected more than twice the forest area burned by wildfires in those states. Flows in late summer are correspondingly reduced, leading to extra pressure on the states water supplies. Because high mountains to the west and north act as a barrier to cold Arctic air masses, most areas of Utah rarely experience temperatures below freezing or prolonged periods of extreme cold. Explore how climate change is affecting the Southwest. And yet another element of the monsoon system that needs more study to resolve. Every part of the Southwest experienced higher average temperatures between 2000 and 2020 than the long-term average (1895-2020). Skeleton of a juvenileCamarosaurs lentus, a type of sauropod, from the Carnegie Quarry, Jurassic Morrison Formation, Dinosaur National Monument, Utah and Colorado. Photo credits: 1916 photo from USGS (public domain), 2013 photo by daveynin (flickr,Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic license, image resized). Some areas were more than 2F warmer than average (see Figure 1). Against Expectations, Southwestern Summers Are Getting Even Drier The pyrocumulonimbus cloud shown at the arrow was created by heat from the fire. Submitted by rebecca.lindsey on Thu, 09/30/2021 - 10:15, Science & information for a climate-smart nation. Here, the states varied topography leads to wide changes in climactic conditions that occur across short distances. Average temperatures range from about 60 to 80 F in Paris, while in Nice and on the south coast they range from around 80 to 90 F. In recent years, heatwaves in Paris and elsewhere have brought record-breaking temperatures, sometimes exceeding 100 degrees F. Summer storm systems are common. The climate was drier than that of the Carboniferous, and mudflats with salt and gypsum formed across the Southwestern states. . Check out Toms recent post on the drought in Arizona to understand more about how drought works in this region. Ill be back on my regular beat in a couple of weeks with the September ENSO update. Download related technical information PDF, https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx, A Closer Look: Temperature and Drought in the Southwest. Data source: National Drought Mitigation Center, 20213Web update: April2021. Based on the long-term Palmer Index, drought conditions in the Southwest have varied since 1895. At the very end of the Cretaceous, the Gulf Coast experienced an enormous disruption when a large asteroid or bolide collided with Earth in what is now the northern Yucatn Peninsula in Mexico. Time-series graph of energy-related carbon dioxide emissions from southwestern states, showing rising emissions from 1970 to around 2008, followed by a decreasing trend from 2008 to 2019. Across New Mexico, Arizona, and Utah, summer rains originate from moisture brought into the area from the Gulf of Mexico. He pointed out that ENSO does influence Pacific tropical storms, which can supply moisture to the monsoon. Map made by Elizabeth J. Hermsen usingSimplemapprand modified in Photoshop. Fossils of a cycad (Dioonopsis praespinulosa) from the Paleocene Castle Rock Flora, Colorado. These changes to rain and snow-pack are already stressing water sources and affecting agriculture. Natural variability, changes in irrigation practices, and other diversions of water for human use can influence certain drought-related measurements. Frequent showers and thunderstorms continue well into the summer. Lower latitudes receive more heat from the sun over the course of a year; for each degree increase in latitude, there is approximately a 1C (2F) decrease in temperature. When you take an already highly variable phenomenon like rainfall, add in uncertain regional climate change impacts, and factor in the sparse data record, it gets difficult to make a strong case about exactly how the monsoon rainfall is changing. Las Cruces is located in the Basin and Range region of New Mexico. Also found are a number of tree species with a disjunct distribution. What is the weather like in the Southwest region in summer? The warmest temperatures in the Southwest are found in Arizona and New Mexico, while the coolest are found in Utah and Colorado. Precipitation has become more variable from year to year, and heavy downpours across the U.S. have increased in the last 20 years. (Going forward, to avoid having to say northwestern Mexico, Arizona, and New Mexico over and over, Ill refer to this area as the monsoon region.). How would that result in less total JulyAugust rain? Good question! Photos by Lauren Dauphin, NASA Earth Observatory (used following NASA's image use policy). Approximately 3.5 million years ago, glacial ice began to form over the Arctic Ocean and on the northern parts of North America and Eurasia. Photo by Bigmikebmw (Wikimedia Commons, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported license, image cropped). :https://earthathome.org/de/talk-about-climate/, Digital Encyclopedia of Earth Science: What is climate? People in the Southwest are particularly dependent on surface water supplies like Lake Mead, which are vulnerable to evaporation. This circulation brings thunderstorms and rainfall to the monsoon region, providing much of their annual total precipitation. In general, places in the east and south of the UK tend to be drier, warmer, sunnier and less windy than those further west and north. Convection occurs when buoyant warm air rises (moves up) while denser cool air sinks (moves down). For example San Diego county has a population of azalea otherwise not seen for hundreds of miles to the north. In Utah, areas below 1200 meters (4000 feet) receive less than 25 centimeters (10 inches) per year, while higher elevations in the Wasatch Mountains receive more than 100 centimeters (40 inches). Layers of gypsum, an evaporate, from the Permian Castile Formation, Eddy County, New Mexico. What is the climate in the Southwest region in summer? By the start of the Late Cretaceous, this inland sea, called the Western Interior Seaway, divided North America in two; the water was rich with mosasaurs, giant clams, and other marine life. Low annual precipitation, clear skies, and year-round warm climate over much of the Southwest are due in large part to a quasi-permanent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the region. The world warmed, and would stay warm through the Mesozoic. Cattle ranches throughout the southwestern states rely on rain-fed grazing forage, making them extremely susceptible to climate change and drought.